Who to Bet - Fantasy Baseball http://whotobet.net/taxonomy/term/542/0 Fantasy Baseball Advice en Pretenders and Contenders (Pitchers and BABIP) http://whotobet.net/content/pretenders-and-contenders-pitchers-and-babip-16027 <p>It's been a while, but below is our current list of pretenders and contenders when it comes to pitchers and their BABIP. A quick scan of the pitchers that are getting the luckiest has some popular names like Cueto, Jackson and Gallardo. I believe in Gallardo, but I'm not sold on the other two, so you might want to try and sell high on those guys right now.</p> <p>Scanning the unluckiest pitchers thus far I see Lester as a possible great pick up. His K/9 are off the charts, his BABIP is obviously too high, and his FIP is at 3.88 while his ERA is at 5+. With numbers like that, you have to think he is going to come back to the norm and reap big rewards.</p> <p><a href="http://whotobet.net/content/pretenders-and-contenders-pitchers-and-babip-16027">read more</a></p> http://whotobet.net/content/pretenders-and-contenders-pitchers-and-babip-16027#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Tue, 09 Jun 2009 20:22:02 +0000 don 16027 at http://whotobet.net Ben Zobrist a possible sleeper pick http://whotobet.net/content/ben-zobrist-a-possible-sleeper-pick-15926 <p><span class="inline inline-right"><img src="http://whotobet.net/files/images/zobrist.jpg" alt="Zobrist a possible Star" title="Zobrist a possible Star" class="image image-_original" width="275" height="235" /><span class="caption" style="width: 273px;"><strong>Zobrist a possible Star</strong></span></span>Throughout the year I am constantly scouring the waiver wire looking for the next big thing, or at least someone that will help fill in a gap that I overlooked during the draft, or as the result of an injury.  Last year I was able to get Ryan Ludwick, and enjoyed about 25 of his 37 Homeruns.  The amazing thing is that I was probably the 3rd or 4th person to pick him up, but I held on, and reaped the rewards.  This year I am thinking Ben Zobrist may be another one of those types of players, not that he will hit 37 Hrs, but he should be a good fill in with positive numbers.</p> <div class="image-clear"></div><p><a href="http://whotobet.net/content/ben-zobrist-a-possible-sleeper-pick-15926">read more</a></p> http://whotobet.net/content/ben-zobrist-a-possible-sleeper-pick-15926#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Ben Zobrist Tue, 02 Jun 2009 14:56:06 +0000 don 15926 at http://whotobet.net Pretenders and Contenders (Pitchers) 5/19/2009 http://whotobet.net/content/pretenders-and-contenders-pitchers-5192009-15699 <p>Here is another addition to our pretenders and contenders story line. As you can see there are some definite contenders (Lincecum) that are just getting robbed out on the baseball diamond. Others, like Volquez and Wolf, are getting luckier than they should. A new category that you should pay attention to is FIP, which is basically what there ERA should be. The formal definition is &quot;Fielding Independent Pitching, a measure of all those things for which a pitcher is specifically responsible. The formula is (HR*13+(BB+HBP-IBB)*3-K*2)/IP, plus a league-specific factor (usually around 3.2) to round out the number to an equivalent ERA number. FIP helps you understand how well a pitcher pitched, regardless of how well his fielders fielded.&quot; Anyways, here is the current list of Pretenders and Contenders.</p> <p><a href="http://whotobet.net/content/pretenders-and-contenders-pitchers-5192009-15699">read more</a></p> http://whotobet.net/content/pretenders-and-contenders-pitchers-5192009-15699#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Tue, 19 May 2009 22:14:21 +0000 don 15699 at http://whotobet.net Don't give up on Carlos Quentin http://whotobet.net/content/dont-give-carlos-quentin-15624 <p><span class="inline inline-left"><img src="http://whotobet.net/files/images/carlos_quentin.thumbnail.jpg" alt="" title="" class="image image-thumbnail" width="147" height="200" /></span>Carlos Quentin started the year off HOT, I mean extremely hot!  After just 12 days of baseball, Quentin already had hit 7 HRs and was looking like he may even eclipse last year's breakout performance.  Unfortunately, it has been pretty much all down hill since then.  He has seen his average drop from .302 down to an abysmal .237, and he has only had 1 HR since then, and that was almost 2 weeks ago.  So, what in the world is going on with him?</p> <div class="image-clear"></div><p><a href="http://whotobet.net/content/dont-give-carlos-quentin-15624">read more</a></p> http://whotobet.net/content/dont-give-carlos-quentin-15624#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Carlos Quentin Wed, 13 May 2009 20:56:20 +0000 don 15624 at http://whotobet.net Pretenders and Contenders (Pitchers) http://whotobet.net/content/pretenders-and-contenders-pitchers-15552 <p>First installment of the Pretenders and Contenders when it comes to Pitchers. A pitcher, unlike a hitter, should always regress to the mean of about .300 for BABIP. Here are some pitchers that are either getting really unlucky or really lucky. What you need to look for are those who are keeping their BB/9 low, and have a high K/BB ratio. Finally, if a pitcher has a very low (lower than 60%) Left on Base % (LOB%), then they are most likely going to start to do very well also.</p> <p><a href="http://whotobet.net/content/pretenders-and-contenders-pitchers-15552">read more</a></p> http://whotobet.net/content/pretenders-and-contenders-pitchers-15552#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Fri, 08 May 2009 17:51:34 +0000 don 15552 at http://whotobet.net Chris Davis is a K machine! http://whotobet.net/content/chris-davis-a-k-machine-15518 <p><span class="inline inline-right"><img src="http://whotobet.net/files/images/chris-davis.jpg" alt="Keep your eye on the Ball" title="Keep your eye on the Ball" class="image image-_original" width="200" height="124" /><span class="caption" style="width: 198px;"><strong>Keep your eye on the Ball</strong></span></span>As I was scanning my fantasy baseball team I noticed that Chris Davis is battling a measily .193, which I daresay is hurting my average for sure.  I decided to look into his BABIP and noticed that he is at a respectable .275, which should be a bit higher, but good enough.  Then I happened to look at his HR/FB%, and saw that he is actually up in that category over 2008 by almost 10%.  So, what is the problem here?  Well, I scanned across the page and saw his K%, which is at an amazing 47.7%!  That is high enough to currently lead the majors.  This K% is going to come down probably closer to the mid 30s by year end, but it's still amazing he is so high as of right now.  Here are the current leaders in K%, both good and bad.</p> <div class="image-clear"></div><p><a href="http://whotobet.net/content/chris-davis-a-k-machine-15518">read more</a></p> http://whotobet.net/content/chris-davis-a-k-machine-15518#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Chris Davis Wed, 06 May 2009 17:23:35 +0000 don 15518 at http://whotobet.net 2009 Projections http://whotobet.net/content/2009-projections-15397 <p>We've done a good amount of analysis to find players that we think will turn it around, and I'd like to share with you that ZIPS has released their latest projections for the remainder of the season.  This spreadsheet should give you a good idea of what players will do for your team the rest of the season.  A great tool for analyzing trades and potential rookies.  Crazily enough, I didn't find A-Rod anywhere on the sheet, but that is probably b/c he hasn't played yet.  Enjoy.</p> <p><a href="http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/discussion/2009_zips_in_season_projections_hitters_through_april_28/">2009, ZiPS In-Season Projections:  Hitters through April 28</a></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> http://whotobet.net/content/2009-projections-15397#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Thu, 30 Apr 2009 17:57:16 +0000 don 15397 at http://whotobet.net Is Verlander Back? http://whotobet.net/content/verlander-back-15377 <p><span class="inline inline-right"><img src="http://whotobet.net/files/images/justin-verlander.thumbnail.jpg" alt="Is Verlander Back?" title="Is Verlander Back?" class="image image-thumbnail" width="200" height="191" /><span class="caption" style="width: 198px;"><strong>Is Verlander Back?</strong></span></span>Justin Verlander was one of the big disappointments of 2008.  He had 2 good years, then fell off the wagon last year.  This year started pretty much the same with Verlander getting shelled time in and time out.  However, let's look closer at the numbers.  Verlander was still striking out a ton of batters, his BB/9 were actually down, but what was different was his BABIP and his LOB%.  Normally a pitchers' left on base percentage is around the 70% mark, but as of today he is at just 50%, as was down in the 30% range before his last good outing aginst the Yanks.  Basically, hits were coming in bunches instead of being spread out like normal.  However, should we believe this...let's take a look at his velocity.</p> <div class="image-clear"></div><p><a href="http://whotobet.net/content/verlander-back-15377">read more</a></p> http://whotobet.net/content/verlander-back-15377#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Justin Verlander Wed, 29 Apr 2009 18:41:34 +0000 don 15377 at http://whotobet.net Hitters with upside http://whotobet.net/content/hitters-upside-15344 <p>In my on-going quest to find the &quot;deal of the century&quot; with a trade, I am always looking at stats like BABIP, K% and LD% (Line-Drive %).  Basically, is the guy hitting ball, is he hitting it hard, and is he just getting lucky or unlucky.  BABIP is a category that needs to be compared with other categories like LD% to get an accurate picture.  So, in my first installment, here are some notable names that may be worth trying to get as their batting average is due to rise as their BABIP moves closer to the mean. (minimum 20 ABs)</p> <p>1. <strong>Lance Berkman</strong> (.171) ...currently sporting a .169 BA, and a .171 BABIP.  This is a guy who normally is around the.300 mark for BABIP.  His numbers are going to start to creep north, and his K% should start to decrease as he starts to see the ball better throughout the year.</p> <p><a href="http://whotobet.net/content/hitters-upside-15344">read more</a></p> http://whotobet.net/content/hitters-upside-15344#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Mon, 27 Apr 2009 21:45:40 +0000 don 15344 at http://whotobet.net Buy Low on Nolasco http://whotobet.net/content/buy-low-nolasco-15238 <p><span class="inline inline-right"><img src="http://whotobet.net/files/images/nolasco.thumbnail.jpg" alt="Ricky Nolasco is still good" title="Ricky Nolasco is still good" class="image image-thumbnail" width="155" height="200" /><span class="caption" style="width: 153px;"><strong>Ricky Nolasco is still good</strong></span></span>I, like a lot of other fantasy owners, probably drafted Ricky Nolasco a bit earlier than some thought he was worth.  However, if you looked at his 2008 numbers you would hard pressed to find any fault with doing so.  He had nearly a 8K/9IP strikeout ratio, a 4.43K/BB ratio, and just a 1.10 WHIP...all with a fairly standard .284 BABIP.  He was a waiver wire pickup in our league, and the reason I grabbed him somewhat earlier than expected in our league was because I was watching him last year, and then someone snagged him right out from under my watch.  So, I was bound to not let that happen again  this year, but now that I have him, his ERA and WHIP look like that of a 2007 Justin Verlander.  But like Verlander of this year (more to come), you have to look more into it.</p> <div class="image-clear"></div><p><a href="http://whotobet.net/content/buy-low-nolasco-15238">read more</a></p> http://whotobet.net/content/buy-low-nolasco-15238#comments Fantasy Baseball MLB Ricky Nolasco Tue, 21 Apr 2009 22:37:47 +0000 don 15238 at http://whotobet.net