Thursday Free NBA Picks - 3-26-09

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Welcome back to the!  It took a few days, but I'm back and refreshed from my March Madness Vegas weekend.  The first half overs treated me well in Sin City, so I'm ready to put some of those winnings down on the NBA.  This week will be all about the numbers.  So bring out the calculator and prepare to battle.  On to the matchups...

Los Angeles Lakers (56-14) vs. Detroit Pistons (34-36)
Detroit surprisingly beat LA at the Staples Center by 11 way back in November.  I see the opposite happening this time around as the Lakers travel to Detroit.  Three key starters for the Pistons are injured...Iverson, Hamilton, and Wallace.  Detroit is 11-25 ATS at home, while LA is 18-14 ATS away.  We missed a chance last week with LA against Golden State, but this matchup should have a single digit spread.
Pick: Los Angeles -7.5

Miami Heat (38-33) vs. Chicago Bulls (34-38)
MVP candidate Kobe leads off the first Thursday night game, but don't forget about Wade and his MVP worthy season.  With Rose as a game-time decision, it doesn't bode well for the Bulls.  Chicago is 18-15 ATS at home, while Miami is 16-17-1 ATS away.  Nothing special stands out in the numbers...except 29.9 - 5.1 - 7.6...Wade's season line.
Pick: Miami (spread tbd)

Phoenix Suns (39-31) vs. Portland Trailblazers (44-27)
The Suns are still playing as I write this...and pulling away in the 4th.  Fatigue anyone?  Portland has been resting since Monday, which can't be overlooked.  The Suns are 13-20-1 ATS on the road, while Portland is 21-14 ATS at home.  Much of these outcomes probably came early in the year when Phoenix was overhyped and Portland was undervalued.  But oh well...I'll ride the trends anyway.
Pick: Portland (spread tbd)

The favorites last week might have left a sour taste in my mouth, but that was with double digit spreads.  As long as these are in mid-single digits, I like the play.  So there you have it.  Don't spend all your money in one place.  See you next week.  Until then...