First installment of the Pretenders and Contenders when it comes to Pitchers. A pitcher, unlike a hitter, should always regress to the mean of about .300 for BABIP. Here are some pitchers that are either getting really unlucky or really lucky. What you need to look for are those who are keeping their BB/9 low, and have a high K/BB ratio. Finally, if a pitcher has a very low (lower than 60%) Left on Base % (LOB%), then they are most likely going to start to do very well also.
Contenders
| Name | Team | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | AVG | WHIP | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | E-F | |
| Josh Beckett | Red Sox | 9.35 | 4.41 | 2.12 | 1.04 | .320 | 1.82 | .405 | 62.7 % | 6.75 | 4.08 | 2.67 | |
| Ricky Nolasco | Marlins | 7.59 | 2.53 | 3.00 | 1.13 | .323 | 1.63 | .381 | 54.9 % | 7.03 | 4.06 | 2.97 | |
| Justin Verlander | Tigers | 11.57 | 3.09 | 3.75 | 0.77 | .267 | 1.37 | .381 | 54.6 % | 5.66 | 2.93 | 2.73 | |
| Kevin Slowey | Twins | 6.55 | 0.52 | 12.50 | 1.57 | .341 | 1.51 | .380 | 71.1 % | 5.50 | 4.18 | 1.33 | |
| Joe Blanton | Phillies | 7.86 | 3.08 | 2.56 | 2.05 | .333 | 1.75 | .377 | 70.7 % | 6.84 | 5.66 | 1.18 | |
| Javier Vazquez | Braves | 11.64 | 2.56 | 4.55 | 0.93 | .258 | 1.27 | .365 | 69.1 % | 4.19 | 2.80 | 1.39 | |
| Cliff Lee | Indians | 6.46 | 2.31 | 2.80 | 0.69 | .313 | 1.54 | .364 | 77.5 % | 3.92 | 3.60 | 0.33 | |
| Jon Lester | Red Sox | 10.46 | 2.92 | 3.58 | 1.70 | .287 | 1.46 | .363 | 75.2 % | 5.11 | 4.38 | 0.73 | |
| Andy Sonnanstine | Rays | 5.51 | 3.31 | 1.67 | 0.28 | .313 | 1.65 | .362 | 61.6 % | 5.79 | 3.55 | 2.23 | |
| Tim Lincecum | Giants | 11.74 | 2.82 | 4.17 | 0.23 | .239 | 1.20 | .362 | 74.6 % | 3.05 | 1.93 | 1.12 |
Pretenders
| Name | Team | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | AVG | WHIP | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | E-F | |
| John Maine | Mets | 7.16 | 5.86 | 1.22 | 0.65 | .204 | 1.37 | .243 | 60.8 % | 5.20 | 4.60 | 0.61 | |
| Jair Jurrjens | Braves | 4.46 | 3.57 | 1.25 | 0.67 | .220 | 1.19 | .236 | 86.8 % | 2.01 | 4.35 | -2.34 | |
| Yovani Gallardo | Brewers | 8.42 | 2.59 | 3.25 | 0.86 | .192 | 0.96 | .234 | 77.5 % | 3.02 | 3.64 | -0.62 | |
| Jered Weaver | Angels | 6.86 | 1.99 | 3.44 | 1.33 | .213 | 0.98 | .230 | 85.9 % | 2.66 | 4.32 | -1.66 | |
| Tim Wakefield | Red Sox | 5.63 | 4.05 | 1.39 | 0.23 | .193 | 1.13 | .228 | 77.1 % | 2.93 | 4.14 | -1.21 | |
| Ted Lilly | Cubs | 7.41 | 2.15 | 3.44 | 1.67 | .214 | 1.01 | .226 | 85.1 % | 3.11 | 4.67 | -1.57 | |
| Kevin Millwood | Rangers | 4.96 | 1.59 | 3.13 | 1.39 | .224 | 0.99 | .226 | 82.4 % | 2.78 | 4.62 | -1.84 | |
| Chris Volstad | Marlins | 7.93 | 3.72 | 2.13 | 1.24 | .196 | 1.10 | .221 | 76.5 % | 2.97 | 4.54 | -1.56 | |
| Edinson Volquez | Reds | 8.67 | 6.19 | 1.40 | 0.99 | .177 | 1.29 | .211 | 79.3 % | 3.47 | 5.09 | -1.62 | |
| Matt Garza | Rays | 7.90 | 3.73 | 2.12 | 1.10 | .172 | 1.00 | .193 | 71.4 % | 3.51 | 4.33 | -0.82 | |
