Pretenders and Contenders (Pitchers)

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First installment of the Pretenders and Contenders when it comes to Pitchers. A pitcher, unlike a hitter, should always regress to the mean of about .300 for BABIP. Here are some pitchers that are either getting really unlucky or really lucky. What you need to look for are those who are keeping their BB/9 low, and have a high K/BB ratio. Finally, if a pitcher has a very low (lower than 60%) Left on Base % (LOB%), then they are most likely going to start to do very well also.

Contenders

Name Team K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 AVG WHIP BABIP LOB% ERA FIP E-F  
 
Josh Beckett Red Sox 9.35 4.41 2.12 1.04 .320 1.82 .405 62.7 % 6.75 4.08 2.67
 
Ricky Nolasco Marlins 7.59 2.53 3.00 1.13 .323 1.63 .381 54.9 % 7.03 4.06 2.97
 
Justin Verlander Tigers 11.57 3.09 3.75 0.77 .267 1.37 .381 54.6 % 5.66 2.93 2.73
 
Kevin Slowey Twins 6.55 0.52 12.50 1.57 .341 1.51 .380 71.1 % 5.50 4.18 1.33
 
Joe Blanton Phillies 7.86 3.08 2.56 2.05 .333 1.75 .377 70.7 % 6.84 5.66 1.18
 
Javier Vazquez Braves 11.64 2.56 4.55 0.93 .258 1.27 .365 69.1 % 4.19 2.80 1.39
 
Cliff Lee Indians 6.46 2.31 2.80 0.69 .313 1.54 .364 77.5 % 3.92 3.60 0.33
 
Jon Lester Red Sox 10.46 2.92 3.58 1.70 .287 1.46 .363 75.2 % 5.11 4.38 0.73
 
Andy Sonnanstine Rays 5.51 3.31 1.67 0.28 .313 1.65 .362 61.6 % 5.79 3.55 2.23
 
Tim Lincecum Giants 11.74 2.82 4.17 0.23 .239 1.20 .362 74.6 % 3.05 1.93 1.12

Pretenders

Name Team K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 AVG WHIP BABIP LOB% ERA FIP E-F  
 
John Maine Mets 7.16 5.86 1.22 0.65 .204 1.37 .243 60.8 % 5.20 4.60 0.61
 
Jair Jurrjens Braves 4.46 3.57 1.25 0.67 .220 1.19 .236 86.8 % 2.01 4.35 -2.34
 
Yovani Gallardo Brewers 8.42 2.59 3.25 0.86 .192 0.96 .234 77.5 % 3.02 3.64 -0.62
 
Jered Weaver Angels 6.86 1.99 3.44 1.33 .213 0.98 .230 85.9 % 2.66 4.32 -1.66
 
Tim Wakefield Red Sox 5.63 4.05 1.39 0.23 .193 1.13 .228 77.1 % 2.93 4.14 -1.21
 
Ted Lilly Cubs 7.41 2.15 3.44 1.67 .214 1.01 .226 85.1 % 3.11 4.67 -1.57
 
Kevin Millwood Rangers 4.96 1.59 3.13 1.39 .224 0.99 .226 82.4 % 2.78 4.62 -1.84
 
Chris Volstad Marlins 7.93 3.72 2.13 1.24 .196 1.10 .221 76.5 % 2.97 4.54 -1.56
 
Edinson Volquez Reds 8.67 6.19 1.40 0.99 .177 1.29 .211 79.3 % 3.47 5.09 -1.62
 
Matt Garza Rays 7.90 3.73 2.12 1.10 .172 1.00 .193 71.4 % 3.51 4.33 -0.82