Miami versus Pitt pick



The two bottom feeder BCS conferences play in front of the nationwide audience on Thursday night.  These two conferences combined for 6 Ranked teams to start the season, and are now down to a toal of 2.  To put that in perspective, the Mountain West conference comes in with 2 ranked teams this weekend. To add even more perspective about how far below the ACC and Big East are from the other 4 Major BCS conferences, the Big East is 0-5 versus them, and the ACC is a dismal 0-8.  The good news for each conference is that this game will give one of them a 2-1 record over the other, so it's kind of like a toilet bowl for the conferences. :-)  Anyways, we don't care about all of that, we want to know who is going to cover the spread, as that is where the money lies.

Miami (Florida) -4  at Pittsburgh

The good news for the ACC is that there one ranked team is Miami, and they are playing in this game in case you missed that.  The bad news is that they are playing at Pitt.  We can't really get a read on either team as of yet regarding their record against the spread, but what we do know is that both teams have a tough loss so far on their record and can't afford another.  That being said, I'd say Miami is the overall better team, but since it is being played at Pitt, I tend to favor the home team a little more on Thursday nights (see last week's NC State pick).  The Miami defense is good despite what the Ohio State game score suggest (see 4 INTs by Jacory Harris).  Pitt has two good RBs, and if they get the lead they are going to pound, but unfortunately, I'm not sure I can see that happening.  Jacory Harris has been struggling, so he is poised for a big game.  Take Miami and give up the points, even though this will be a close one, you are going to want the more talented team late in the 4th.