2008 Orange Bowl Free Pick

Knasas (11-1 SU, 10-1-1 ATS) has been an unbelievable team this year for bettors.  Take a look at that Against the Spread record... 10-1-1.  Virginia Tech (11-2 SU, 7-4-2 ATS) isn't too shabby either, but Kansas' record is ridiculous.  When I first saw this matchup, I expected about a 6-7 point spread, but seeing as it is now only a 4 point spread, what do we do?

Kansas vs. Virginia Tech (9-4)
The Big 12 is a respectable 4-3 this year in the bowls, and the ACC is an abysmal 2-5, although 4 of those losses were by a TD or less.  So, do we go by Conference records, SU records, ATS records, or the matchup itself to determine our pick.  Well, looking at Kansas' schedule, I don't see a lot of impressive wins, whereas looking at Va. Tech's, I can see at least a couple.  Va. Tech is a team that can flop every now and then, but I think they will show up and not be over whelmed.  Go with the Hokies and give up the points.